💰 Money

Real capital to deploy live: $500. Paper/demo balances are for validation.

📈 Forward Test (the live proof)

Genuine OOS accrues from 2026-06-16 forward; earlier rows seed the harness.

🔮 Forward Backtest — out-of-sample, by year

Each year scored by a model trained only on prior years (SPY/QQQ/IWM/DIA) — a true forward test on real data.

🎯 Latest Signals

🔬 Backtest Report — run & compare theories

⚠ In-sample results (the model has seen this data) — optimistic. The honest out-of-sample read is the 🔮 Forward Backtest above + the PBO-deflated ~1.6 Sharpe, not the headline number here.

⚙ Execution: 2 bps/side slippage (≈4 bps round-trip — conservative vs SPY's 0.4 bp real spread) · $0 Alpaca equity commission · market entry · limit 2R target · market-on-trigger stop.

Trades

🧪 Validated Analytics (this project)